Week #7, December 31-January 5
A spread of +5.0 is the bottom line most of the time (there are no absolutes in fantasy basketball) to give a team a much better than average chance of winning. Spread differential in order of first to last (W-L record shown for the week) with previous weeks results listed underneath the most recent week, week #7 for comparison.
3-0^Hoosiers: +121=10.1
Week 6: 3-0; +112=6.2
Week 5: 2-1; +62=5.6
Week 4: 1-2; +31=2.4
Week 3: 3-0; +73=6.08
Week 2: 3-0; +79=4.4
Week 1: 2-1; +59=3.93
Comment: Best week in team history due to Mo’fo’, er, Mogbo, who had a 54 and averaged 46 on the week! Hoosiers are without a doubt one of the top four MML teams.
2-1>North Pole Fightin’ Reindeer: +80=7.27
Week 6: 0-3; +84=6.5
Week 5: 0-3; +45-5.0
Week 4: 0-3; +13=1.3
Week 3: 2-1; +59=4.2
Week 2: 2-1; +60=3.5
Week 1: 0-3; +38=3.8
3-0^Virginia Gentlemen: +87=7.25
Week 6: 3-0; +119=6.6
Week 5: 1-2; +73=6.6
Week 4: 3-0; +60=5.0
Week 3: 2-1; +71=5.9
Week 2: 1-2; +68=4.0
Week 1: 1-2; +64=5.3
Comment: The cream (as in that sweet Virginia cream) is rising to the top…
3-0^Gator Bait: +98=7.0
Week 6: 2-1; +95=6.3
Week 5: 0-3-+29=2.6
Week 4: 0-3; +54=4.5
Week 3: 0-3; +13=0.86
Week 2: 1-2; +55=3.6
Week 1: 3-0; +69=4.3
COMMENT: Things are looking up for GB, but I think they are up against their ceiling as far as scoring upside goes.
2-1>Deep Valley Grouchos: +97=6.9
Week 6: 1-2; +103=7.35
Week 5: 2-1; +66=5.5
Week 4: 3-0; +74=5.3
Week 3: 1-2; +95=7.3
Week 2: 2-1; +111=6.6
Week 1: 3-0; +107=6.3
3-0^Maize and Blue Bloods: +96=6.8
Week 6: 2-1; +70=4.4
Week 5: 2-1; +95=7.9
Week 4: 3-0; +76=6.3
Week 3: 0-3; =47=3.6
Week 2: 2-1; +109=5.7
Week 1: 2-1; +39=2.6
1-2-House of Sparky: +74=5.2
Week 6: 3-0; +121=7.6
Week 5: 2-1; +43=3.3
Week 4: 0-3; +55=5.0
Week 3: 1-2; +73=4.86
Week 2: 2-1; +76=5.4
Week 1: 2-1; +96=6.85
2-1>Vindaloos: +65=5.0
Week 6: 0-3; +85=5.3
Week 5: 3-0; +52=4.3
Week 4: 2-1; +25=1.78
Week 3: 0-3; +53=4.8
Week 2: 2-1; +87=4.6
Week 1: 0-3; +41=2.7
0-3-The Hoop Guru: +44=4.8
Week 6: 1-2; +56=5.6
Week 5: 0-3; +43=4.3
Week 4: 3-0; +65=5.0
Week 3: 2-1; +49=4.45
Week 2: 3-0; +58=3.2
Week 1: 2-1; +42=2.8
0-3-Hardwood Heroes: +51=3.6
Week 6: 0-3; +18=1.4
Week 5: 0-3; +33=2.75
Week 4: 1-2; +51=5.6
Week 3: 3-0; +54=3.85
Week 2: 0-3; +60=3.5
Week 1: 0-3; +46=3.3
COMMENT: Status quo
2-1>KC Warthogs: +39=3.0
Week 6: 0-3; +48=3.4
Week 5: 0-3; +44=4.4
Week 4: 0-3; +64=7.1
Week 3: 1-2; +33=3.0
Week 2: 3-0; +101=5.6
Week 1: 3-0; +81=5.78
1-2-Hillbilly Maulers: +32=2.9
Week 6: 2-1; +110=6.87
Week 5: 2-1; +59=5.9
Week 4: 1-2; +65=5.9
Week 3: 0-3; +66=7.3
Week 2: 1-2; +109=6.4
Week 1: 2-1; +46=3.06
0-3-Prozac Pups: +35=2.7
Week 6: 3-0; +76=4.5
Week 5: 2-1; +42=4.2
Week 4: 1-2; +52=4.3
Week 3: 1-2; +64=4.9
Week 2: 1-2; +56=3.1
Week 1: 2-1; +29=2.1
Comment: Nothing like playing three good teams to show you that never once having had a spread above 4.9 is a problem.
0-3-Saluki YRD’s: +35=2.7
Week 6: 1-2; +76=5.8
Week 5: 2-1; +33=3.6
Week 4: 2-1; +52=4.7
Week 3: 2-1; +59=6.5
Week 2: 1-2; +76=6.9
Week 1: 0-3; +23=2.09
2-1>Sam Jacobson Went To Class: +26=1.8
Week 6: 2-1; +72=4.0
Week 5: 2-1; +49=4.45
Week 4: 2-1; +45=4.09
Week 3: 3-0; +56=3.7
Week 2: 0-3; +60=4.0
Week 1: 0-3; +25=2.08
0-3-Psychos: +9=0.8
Week 6: 1-2; +72=4.8
Week 5: 3-0; +36=3.0
Week 4: 2-1; +56=4.3
Week 3: 3-0; +74=5.7
Week 2: 0-3; +57=4.75
Week 1: 2-1; +60=4.6
Comment: They did not exactly have their best lineup out there, so, the 0.8 is just an aberration to be thrown out as meaningless.
As the number of games each team plays each week becomes more “normal” (13-15 with 14 being the most common), plus, going into conference play we are seeing a stronger correlation between spread and results with the only “bee in the bonnet” being who the opponents are, of course. Nonetheless, the teams that have a strong spread are going to be doing most of the winning…now…and later.